Copy for Real Estate Guide Column for 4-24-09
REAL ESTATE PATTERNS
By Ken DuVall
GLIMMER OF HOPE
Yes, per Kiplinger, the economy is improving but don’t get carried away just yet. The gains are small and the recession will linger at least through midyear. First quarter GDP figures due out this month will be better but not by much. Sales of new and existing homes are higher, fueled by foreclosures, record low mortgages rates, and the first time home buyers tax credit.
The Labor Department reports initial jobless claims plunging by 53,000 to 610,000 last week, the lowest since January. However, the number of people collecting unemployment checks surged by 172,000 to 6.02 million, another record high. Sales of cars and light trucks rose in March, another positive sign. While the stimulus will bring more gains this summer, unfortunately, the job market will continue to suffer into 2011.
In sum: The economy hasn’t reached bottom yet, but it’s getting closer. The Fed has done about all it can to calm the markets. What’s needed now are clear signs that the recession is truly ending so investors start breathing easily again.
Unfortunately, legislation severely limiting mortgage options will slow housing’s recovery. It had to happen. Congress will make plain-vanilla 30-year fixed loans with 20% down the norm, restrictions which will all but eliminate risky loans. That will keep buyers who can’t afford the payments out of the market. But lenders agree that steps are needed to restore confidence in housing markets.
The dollar will stay strong through this year. Global investors will continue to view the greenback as the safest haven available. Look for it to hit multiyear highs against all other currencies over the next 6 months. The buck is up 15% from a year ago. Amen to that!
A new “industry” rears its ugly head. Squatters are brazenly moving into foreclosed homes all over the country in cahoots with numerous “advocacy” groups, some secretly, others openly, variously calling themselves “Take Back the Land”, “National Coalition for the Homeless”, “Coalition on Homelessness & Housing”, “Poor People’s Economic Human Rights Campaign”, “Welfare Rights Union”, “Task Force for the Homeless”, on and on.
The groups have been likened to a modern day underground railroad. Illegal squatters can last up to a year before being evicted. Neighbors with several vacant homes on their block are not objecting. The groups scout foreclosure lists to find the homes. The squatters agree to keep up the property but usually don’t, mostly leaving damaged and stripped homes behind.
There’s even competition between groups. One advocacy group director said, “We had a move-in scheduled for one morning and found another squatter had already taken over. We went to a different nearby home and someone had taken over that ‘squat’ too. We always change the locks but they had them changed again.”
And finally, now we’ve got Chinese drywall imports made with too much sulfur content that makes your home smell of rotten eggs and corrodes all metal- plumbing fixtures, wiring, door hinges, jewelry, silverware, etc. - in the house. Let’s just forget it and move to Somalia and be pirates!
Ken owns Ken DuVall & Associates, REALTORS at 3rd Ave. & Mangrove in Chico. Ken was the 2001 President of the Chico Assn. of Realtors and the 1995 Chico Realtor of the Year. See Chico MLS listings at www.KenDuVall.com and call Ken at 345-3700 for all your real estate needs. Free consulting.

